Investors Begin to See the Light in Upbeat Week – Weekly Update

January 16, 2024 | By Steven DiGregorio

Stocks pushed higher last week, led by big tech names and boosted by December inflation reports that were mixed but positive enough to shore up investor confidence in Fed rate cuts this year.

Stocks Rock and Roll

It was a rocky week that ended on a high note. Stocks rallied Monday after the prior week’s decline. Tech shares led, with the Nasdaq posting its best day since November 14.

On Tuesday, stocks initially tumbled but recovered most of their losses late in the session. Stocks rallied on Wednesday ahead of inflation news the following two trading days. Stocks fell initially on Thursday in response to a hotter-than-expected inflation report, reflecting investor concerns about the certainty, timing, and extent of Fed rate cuts later this year.

On Friday, the start of earnings season brought mixed results from a handful of major banks. By close, stocks had recovered most of their losses, ending the week with solid gains.1,2,3,4,5

A Tale of Two Inflation Reports

The biggest economic news last week was fresh inflation data. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3 percent in December over the prior month and 3.4 percent compared with a year prior. That number was higher than the 3.2 percent increase economists expected and a few ticks elevated from the 3.1 percent figure in November.6,7

Core CPI for December, which excludes volatile food and energy components, rose 3.9%, a slight decrease from November’s 4.0% gain.

On Friday, the Producer Price Index (PPI), which measures inflation by domestic producers, showed a drop of 0.1% for December, possibly suggesting that the CPI’s uptick may have been an anomaly.6,7,8

This Week: Key Economic Data

Tuesday: Empire State Manufacturing Index.
Wednesday: Retail Sales. Industrial Production.
Thursday: Jobless Claims. Housing Starts. Petroleum Status Report.
Friday: Existing Home Sales.

Source: Investor’s Business Daily, Econoday economic calendar; January 10, 2024
The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings

Tuesday: Morgan Stanley (MS), The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS), Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR)
Wednesday:  The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW), U.S. Bancorp (USB), Alcoa (AA)
Thursday: M&T Bank Corporation (MTB), Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS)
Friday: Schlumberger Limited (SLB), The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV), State Street Corporation (STT)

Source: Zacks, January 10, 2024
Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.

Box upload

Source: YCharts.com, January 13, 2024. Weekly performance is measured from Monday, January 8, to Friday, January 12.  ROC 5 = the rate of change in the index for the previous 5 trading days. TR = total return for the index, which includes any dividends as well as any other cash distributions during the period.  Treasury note yield is expressed in basis points.

Footnotes and Sources

1. CNBC.com, January 8, 2024.
2. CNBC.com, January 9, 2024.
3. CNBC.com, January 10, 2024.
4. The Wall Street Journal, January 11, 2024.
5. The Wall Street Journal, January 11, 2024.
6. The Wall Street Journal, January 11, 2024.
7. The Wall Street Journal, January 11, 2024.
8. The Wall Street Journal, January 11, 2024.


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Tags: CPI, DJIA, Earnings, Inflation, NASDAQ, S&P 500

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STEVEN M DIGREGORIO is President of Compass Asset Management Group, LLC and an Investment Advisor Representative with Spire Wealth Management, LLC.
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